Forecast Summary:

Monday, March 28th, 2022, through Monday, April 4th, 2022

Ozone: 8-hour average Ozone concentrations are expected to be mostly Good through the forecast period.

PM-2.5: 24-hour average Fine Particulate concentrations are expected to be mostly Good with Wednesday being the only day which could see some scattered Moderates.

FORECAST DISCUSSION:

This weekly forecast carries us over into April so I will begin the inclusion of ozone into our forecast.  At this point, it looks to be a formality as March is projected to end like a lion with unseasonably cool temperatures.

Monday begins the current work week under a dome of high pressure, cold temperatures, and Good Air Quality.  This dome of high pressure will persist into Tuesday before slowly giving way to an approaching frontal system. 

The approaching warm front sector of this system will approach from the south with warm air overriding the cold air at the surface.  This could potentially cause some icing issues early Wednesday morning.  Fortunately, the warm front will pass early in the day and the associated warm air could push surface temperatures into the 50’s or low 60’s.  This will be the warmest day of the forecast period and the best chance for some scattered Low Moderate concentrations.  I do not expect these concentrations to be significantly high nor widespread, however.

The cold front attached to this system will pass through Wednesday night and put the area back into unseasonably cool temperatures and possible snow showers until the end of the work week.  The air will be clean, and we can expect Good Air Quality under this air mass.

Temperatures are not expected to warm much during the weekend before another front is projected to pass through the region during early Sunday.  That will reenforce the existing cold air to make early April seem more like early March.  On a positive note, the Air Quality should remain Good!

EXTENDED FORECAST:

Air Quality is expected to be Good starting the next work week.

Forecast updated by Jim Haywood: Monday, March 28th, 2022

Next forecast update: Monday, April 4th, 2022