West Michigan Clean Air Coalition

View Original

8/22/2022 Forecast Update

FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday August 22, 2022, through Friday August 26, 2022

 

OZONE: 8-hour average Ozone concentrations are expected to be Good to Moderate.

 

PM-2.5:  24-hour average Fine Particulate concentrations are expected to be stay mostly Good to Low Moderate.

 

 

FORECAST DISCUSSION

 

With high pressure continuing to move into the area on Monday, a mostly quieter, drier, and slightly warmer weather pattern will prevail over the next couple of days.  Prevailing northerly winds should keep our Air Quality Good through Tuesday.  By Wednesday, increasing temperatures will range from lower-80s to mid-80s.  Coupled with the dew points in the lower 60s and mostly clear skies, it will make for some pretty nice weather.  However, nearly calm winds could allow for some urban areas to see ozone increases into the Moderate range.

 

By Thursday, a cool front will bring slightly cooler temperatures and increased chances for showers and few thunderstorms on Thursday through Thursday night.  Another, ridge of high pressure begins to move into the region Friday bringing a return to drier and slightly warmer weather for the area for the weekend.

 

Along with the predicted warmer weather, the models are showing a return to good southern flow and the potential for some elevated ozone if the skies remain clear during the weekend.  The cloud models are not consistent, at this time, so I will be reviewing and updating this forecast on Friday.

 

 

EXTENDED FORECAST:

 

Air Quality should be mostly Good to Low Moderate to begin the next work week.

 

 

Forecast updated by Jim Haywood: Monday, August 22, 2022

Next forecast update: Friday, August 26, 2022