West Michigan Clean Air Coalition

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05/02/2022 Forecast Update

FORECAST SUMMARY:

Monday May 2nd, 2022, through Monday May 9th, 2022

 

OZONE: Ozone concentrations are expected to be Good through the forecast period.

 

PM-2.5:  PM-2.5 concentrations are expected to range from Good to low-Moderate for the forecast period.

 

FORECAST DISCUSSION

Michigan starts off May with high temperatures ranging from the upper-50s Fahrenheit to mid-60s Fahrenheit. A low-pressure and associated frontal system makes its way through the Midwest overnight Monday into Tuesday. The track of the low-pressure will stay to the south of Michigan but will provide rain to much of the lower peninsula all day Tuesday. As the low-pressure exits the area Tuesday night into Wednesday, Michigan dries out for a couple days as a high-pressure system tracks southward from Canada. This will provide winds coming from the north-northeast, but temperatures remain in the 60s. The dry weather is somewhat short-lived as another low-pressure takes a similar track to the one earlier in the week, but this one occurs late Thursday into Friday morning. Although not an all-day soaker, rain is expected for much of the morning and becoming spotty in the afternoon. Sunshine returns Saturday and Sunday with an increase in temperature continuing into next week.

In terms of air quality, Ozone concentrations will remain Good as there will be intermittent cloudiness throughout the week, so Ozone precursors will not have enough time to react with sunlight and build up concentrations. For PM-2.5, the rain that is expected Tuesday will help to clean out any concentrations that have built up in recent days. Also, steady wind, especially from the north, will keep concentrations at bay, but hourly Moderate conditions can be expected in southeast Michigan in the morning hours and if winds weaken.

EXTENDED FORECAST:

The extended forecast presents much of southern Michigan in the 70s for high temperatures next week, with northern Michigan well into the 60s. Air quality looks to remain Good as we approach next week

 

Forecast updated by: Alec Kownacki, Monday May 2nd, 2022

Next Forecast update: Monday May 9th, 2022