04/03/2023 Forecast Update

FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday April 3rd, 2023, through Monday April 10th, 2023

OZONE: Ozone concentrations look to remain Good for the forecast period.

PM-2.5: PM-2.5 concentrations are expected to range from Good to low-Moderate. 

FORECAST DISCUSSION:

For the lower peninsula of Michigan, it appears Spring has finally sprung with the majority of temperatures in the 50s and 60s for the foreseeable future. The upper peninsula will need a few more weeks to catch up as colder temperatures and lingering snowfall hangs around to the north.

For this week, multiple rounds of precipitation look to impact Michigan with some severity thrown into the mix on Tuesday and into Wednesday. A chance for thunderstorms is becoming more likely as model output is fine-tuned for midweek. The Low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary will exit the area on Thursday leaving breezy conditions in its wake for most of the day until a High-pressure system sets up just to our west on Friday. The weekend ahead looks to be dry and sunny with the help of the High-pressure lingering in the region. Sunday night into Monday brings the next chance of precipitation as another Low-pressure and cold front traverses the region with rain being the predominant precipitation type.

For air quality, it is still a little too early to notice any uptick in Ozone concentrations, but we are starting to look it at more so with temperatures rising and daylight lasting longer. For PM-2.5, the multiple rounds of precipitation and continuous breezy conditions will help keep concentrations at bay for the majority of the forecast period. With the High-pressure in place this weekend, concentrations may stick around, but should only be in the mid-Moderate range if that is the case. There may also be low-Moderate hourly concentrations most of the mornings this week per usual.

EXTENDED FORECAST:

Next week looks to continue the trend of precipitation with Monday looking to have rain in the forecast for the majority of the day. Overall air quality to start next week looks to remain Good.

Next Forecast update: Monday April 10th, 2023