07/29/2024 Forecast Update

FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday July 29th 2024, through Friday August 2nd, 2024

OZONE:

Ozone concentrations are expected to be in the Good to Moderate range.

PM-2.5:

PM-2.5 concentrations are expected to be in the Good to Moderate range.

The previous, picturesque Michigan summer weekend bleeds into the next work week, this Monday morning, in most areas across the state. Southwest portions of the state saw intermittent rain showers Sunday evening that are hanging around the area as we wake up this Monday morning. Accompanying this rain is warmer, and more moist air as dew point temperatures are expected to climb into the upper-60s throughout this week. Heat, humidity, and pop-up showers to thunderstorms will be the headline this week with all of the aforementioned factors intermingling with one another. To help out with the proper forcing in the atmosphere to initiate showers or thunderstorms, a Low-pressure system looks to traverse the southern portions of the state early Tuesday morning, which will kick up some rain showers in the morning. A rather weak High-pressure system hangs over us on Wednesday, but the heat and humidity hanging around may still lead to some pop-up showers around the state. In the latter half of the week, another Low-pressure system with an accompanied warm front crosses over the Great Lakes Thursday into Friday, which will lead to more pop-up showers and storms.

In terms of air quality, although we will have the heat and humidity to produce Ozone, I do not think the clouds and wind direction will cooperate with Ozone development. The multiple rounds of pop-up showers will help to locally clean out airmasses as well. Along with the multiple rounds of pop-up showers, the pressure systems moving through the state this week will shift winds from southerly to northerly almost every other day. This shift in winds will help to bring in cleaner air from the north for Ozone purposes.

 EXTENDED FORECAST:

This weekend continues where the work week leaves off with surface temperatures in the 80s and relatively high humidity. Air quality looks to remain in the Good to Moderate range.

Next Forecast update: Friday August 2nd