Forecast Summary: Monday June 13th, 2022, through Tuesday June 14th, 2022
OZONE: Ozone concentrations are expected to range from Moderate to USG.
PM-2.5: PM-2.5 concentrations are expected to range from Good to low-Moderate throughout this week.
FORECAST DISCUSSION:
Summer-like and above-normal temperatures return this week as we start off with temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s F and quickly reach the mid-to-upper 90s F come midweek. Ample sunlight and southwest winds will also accompany the warm temperatures as we go through the week. The only exception is the possibility of severe storms Monday night into Tuesday morning, but the weather quickly rebounds with partly sunny skies and warm temperatures Tuesday. There is a slight cool down as we approach Thursday afternoon as a cold front makes its way through the Great Lakes region.
Ozone is expected to range from Moderate to USG Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Tuesday Ozone development may be delayed due to potential storms early Tuesday morning. Due to this delay, isolated monitors may reach USG on the hourly-level, but widespread 8-hour average is not expected to reach USG. As stated above, warm temperatures both surface and upper-level, southwest winds, and ample sunlight will create a conducive environment for Ozone development in West Michigan and Southeast Michigan midweek. Wednesday looks to be the day to have the highest potential for 8-hour average Ozone to reach USG, which is why I will be updating the forecast tomorrow, Tuesday.
PM-2.5 forecasts look to range from Good to low-Moderate for the week.
EXTENDED FORECAST:
Extended models look to agree with a slight cool down later this week into the weekend.
Forecast updated by: Alec Kownacki, Monday June 13th, 2022
Next Forecast update: Tuesday June 14th, 2022